The stakes
The championship picture
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads George Russell by 102 points.
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli340 pts
- George Russell238 pts
- Lewis Hamilton229 pts
After round 17.
Championship source ↗Upcoming race · 2026 · Round 18 · USA
ScheduledAustin’s 5.513 km lap combines 20 corners with fast changes of direction. The 2026 tyre selection is C2 Hard, C3 Medium and C4 Soft.
Race start
Austin · America/Chicago
Max Verstappen leads the pre weekend projected order.
The circuit
Approximate community-mapped circuit outline. OpenStreetMap source.
Highlights show turn groups, not official timing sectors.
© OpenStreetMap contributors · ODbL 1.0.
Map data: OSM XML · GeoJSON · source details.
Session
Session
Session
Session
Grand Prix
Before lights out
The stakes
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads George Russell by 102 points.
After round 17.
Championship source ↗Recent form
Grand Prix finishes in the last 3 completed 2026 races, newest first.
Singapore · Bahrain in Malaysia · Azerbaijan
The weekend
Watch practice for sustained pace, then qualifying for single-lap speed. The race grid can still change after penalties.
Next: practice 1
The pit-wall decisions
What to look for when the race changes.
Pirelli has moved Austin’s Hard from C1 to C2. Last year teams preferred the Medium and Soft; Friday’s longer runs will help show whether this year’s Hard offers a useful alternative.
If lap times deteriorate enough, fresh tyres may repay the time lost in another stop. Longer runs help, but fuel load and traffic can disguise the true pace.
Read the tyre guide ↗The undercut means stopping first to gain time on fresh tyres. Staying out can work if the car still has pace, or if the rival rejoins in traffic.
Follow the gap across the whole stop sequence: the in-lap, pit lane, tyre warm-up and out-lap. A fast wheel change alone does not decide who comes out ahead.
Undercut and overcut ↗A Safety Car or Virtual Safety Car can reduce the time a stop costs relative to cars on track. That may help someone still due to stop and hurt someone who just paid the full cost.
Rejoin traffic, available tyres and pit-lane access still matter. Rain can change the tyre choice altogether. These are decisions to follow, not a prediction of an interruption.
Read Ruth Buscombe’s strategy analysis ↗F1Fix viewing guide · tyre nomination published 2026-10-09.
Race forecast
The projected order and your pick for the win.
Model forecast · Pre Weekend
All 22 drivers, ordered by expected finish. Win and podium chances are estimates.
| Rank | Driver | Expected finish | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Max VerstappenRed Bull | 4.42 | 16.5% | 44.1% |
| 02 | George RussellMercedes | 4.83 | 13.2% | 38.9% |
| 03 | Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes | 4.88 | 12.6% | 38.0% |
| 04 | Charles LeclercFerrari | 5.09 | 12.6% | 35.4% |
| 05 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | 5.38 | 10.5% | 32.1% |
| 06 | Lewis HamiltonFerrari | 5.59 | 10.0% | 29.6% |
| 07 | Oscar PiastriMcLaren | 6.26 | 7.6% | 25.4% |
| 08 | Isack HadjarRed Bull | 7.85 | 4.6% | 16.5% |
| 09 | Liam LawsonRB F1 Team | 10.32 | 2.4% | 7.8% |
| 10 | Arvid LindbladRB F1 Team | 11.14 | 1.8% | 6.0% |
| 11 | Pierre GaslyAlpine F1 Team | 11.26 | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| 12 | Nico HülkenbergAudi | 13.25 | 0.9% | 3.7% |
| 13 | Franco ColapintoAlpine F1 Team | 13.26 | 1.1% | 3.2% |
| 14 | Oliver BearmanHaas F1 Team | 14.12 | 0.7% | 2.6% |
| 15 | Gabriel BortoletoAudi | 14.16 | 1.0% | 3.2% |
| 16 | Carlos SainzWilliams | 14.95 | 0.7% | 2.0% |
| 17 | Esteban OconHaas F1 Team | 15.19 | 0.6% | 2.0% |
| 18 | Alexander AlbonWilliams | 17.10 | 0.2% | 1.0% |
| 19 | Fernando AlonsoAston Martin | 17.41 | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| 20 | Lance StrollAston Martin | 18.45 | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| 21 | Sergio PérezCadillac F1 Team | 18.55 | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 22 | Valtteri BottasCadillac F1 Team | 19.54 | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Expected finish is the average modeled position.
Based on the provisional race field.
Position ranges & forecast history ↗Fan picks
1 pick · Pre Weekend
Voting closes
Circuit history
Earlier Grand Prix results at this venue, with sample dates shown below.
The largest win total in this 3-race sample is 2/3, held by Max Verstappen. This counts only the stored races in the sample.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
Of 3 winners with a positive recorded grid position, 1 started from pole and 1 started in the first three positions. A positive grid position is stored for 3/3 winners.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
2 different drivers won the 3 stored Grand Prix races at Circuit of the Americas with race-start dates 2023-10-22 to 2025-10-19 UTC. Sprint races are excluded.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
Circuit history
3 Grands Prix · –. Sprints excluded.
| Race | Winner | Winning team | Winner’s grid | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 ↗ | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | P1 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | Charles LeclercFerrari |
| 2024 ↗ | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | P4 | Carlos SainzFerrari | Max VerstappenRed Bull |
| 2023 ↗ | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | P6 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | Carlos SainzFerrari |
Max Verstappen: 2/3 · Charles Leclerc: 1/3 wins in this sample of up to five Grands Prix.
4 different winners in the last 6 completed Grands Prix before this event: –. Sprints excluded.
This weekend
Strategy Confirmed Fact
Pirelli nominated C2 Hard, C3 Medium and C4 Soft for the 2026 United States Grand Prix.
Pirelli / F1Fix editorial ↗Checked
Forecast history
Across the season