The single-lap picture
P1 Charles Leclerc 1:17.827; P2 Lando Norris +0.103s; P3 George Russell +0.106s; P4 Kimi Antonelli +0.217s; P5 Max Verstappen +0.311s. Tyre choice and run programme matter before reading practice as a race order.
Race weekend · 2026 · Round 19 · Mexico
ScheduledAutódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, Mexico City. Follow the form, the tyre decision and what each session changes.
Race start
Mexico City · America/Mexico_City
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads the pre weekend projected order.
The circuit
© Tomislav Bacinger · MIT · Map data
Source layout; historical configurations may differ.
Session
Verification delayed
Session
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Session
Session
Grand Prix
Practice 2 · the on-track evidence
Session ended
P1 Charles Leclerc 1:17.827; P2 Lando Norris +0.103s; P3 George Russell +0.106s; P4 Kimi Antonelli +0.217s; P5 Max Verstappen +0.311s. Tyre choice and run programme matter before reading practice as a race order.
Sergio Perez: soft, laps 16–33, 1:23.200 median across 14 comparable laps; Arvid Lindblad: soft, laps 18–34, 1:22.088 median across 13 comparable laps; Liam Lawson: soft, laps 17–32, 1:22.023 median across 12 comparable laps; Valtteri Bottas: medium, laps 18–33, 1:24.185 median across 12 comparable laps; George Russell: soft, laps 17–31, 1:21.581 median across 11 comparable laps. Fuel loads are unknown; this measures the runs, not an adjusted race-pace ranking.
Soft tyres account for the most usable longer runs in this session. Sergio Perez stretched a soft run across laps 16–33. The stop decision hinges on extending that tyre life into a full race stint; a short quick run is not enough to commit to one stop.
RED FLAG
Before lights out
Mexico City’s thin air weakens cooling and downforce at the same time. A large rear wing here does not mean the car has the grip it would have at sea level. The useful comparison is how well each car keeps its tyres and brakes under control through the slower corners while preserving speed along the main straight. Cooling openings are often circuit-specific changes, so a bigger outlet should not automatically be read as a new aerodynamic upgrade.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) won United States Grand Prix; Max Verstappen (Red Bull) won Singapore Grand Prix; Max Verstappen (Red Bull) won Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia. This is the recent winning form coming into Mexico City Grand Prix.
Lando Norris won the last race at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez for McLaren, starting P1. 2 of the last 3 winners here started on pole. That record gives track position real weight when judging the qualifying result.
The stakes
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads George Russell by 123 points.
After round 18.
Recent form
Grand Prix finishes in the last 3 completed 2026 races, newest first.
United States · Singapore · Bahrain in Malaysia
The weekend
Recorded completed stints used hard, medium, soft tyres. The longest recorded stint spanned 18 laps. Stint length alone does not establish degradation or fuel-corrected race pace.
Published · Last check attempted
Next: practice 3
Mexico City · the pit wall
Lando Norris won in 2025 with pit stops on laps 34. That is the circuit’s most recent winning example. This weekend’s compounds, weather and longer runs determine whether that plan still fits.
The race-time forecast averages 24°C, with 0.0 mm of rain over three hours and winds averaging 10 km/h. Watch track temperature and tyre life as the forecast changes.
Published · Last check attempted
Race forecast
The projected order and your pick for the win.
Model forecast · Pre Weekend
All 22 drivers, ordered by expected finish. Win and podium chances are estimates.
| Rank | Driver | Expected finish | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes | 4.25 | 15.7% | 45.2% |
| 02 | Charles LeclercFerrari | 4.44 | 15.0% | 42.7% |
| 03 | Max VerstappenRed Bull | 4.75 | 13.5% | 38.6% |
| 04 | Lewis HamiltonFerrari | 4.80 | 12.9% | 36.9% |
| 05 | George RussellMercedes | 5.06 | 11.9% | 35.3% |
| 06 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | 5.57 | 9.6% | 29.5% |
| 07 | Oscar PiastriMcLaren | 6.38 | 6.8% | 23.0% |
| 08 | Isack HadjarRed Bull | 7.79 | 4.5% | 15.1% |
| 09 | Liam LawsonRB F1 Team | 10.96 | 1.6% | 5.7% |
| 10 | Arvid LindbladRB F1 Team | 11.45 | 1.3% | 5.0% |
| 11 | Pierre GaslyAlpine F1 Team | 11.52 | 1.6% | 4.9% |
| 12 | Nico HülkenbergAudi | 13.51 | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| 13 | Franco ColapintoAlpine F1 Team | 13.61 | 0.9% | 2.7% |
| 14 | Gabriel BortoletoAudi | 13.76 | 0.9% | 3.3% |
| 15 | Oliver BearmanHaas F1 Team | 13.82 | 0.7% | 2.3% |
| 16 | Esteban OconHaas F1 Team | 14.47 | 0.6% | 2.1% |
| 17 | Carlos SainzWilliams | 15.07 | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| 18 | Alexander AlbonWilliams | 17.14 | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 19 | Fernando AlonsoAston Martin | 17.49 | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| 20 | Lance StrollAston Martin | 18.49 | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| 21 | Sergio PérezCadillac F1 Team | 19.17 | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 22 | Valtteri BottasCadillac F1 Team | 19.50 | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Expected finish is the average modeled position.
Input cutoff
Published
Based on the provisional race field.
Position ranges & forecast history ↗Publication provenance unknown · Inspect this immutable version
Live prospective record · Pre-weekend · context-ridge-v2
0 evaluated races.
No completed prospective sample is available for this stage and model version. Historical backtests do not count toward this record.
Detailed evaluation & conventions ↗Circuit history
Earlier Grand Prix results at this venue, with sample dates shown below.
3 different drivers won the 3 stored Grand Prix races at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez with race-start dates 2023-10-29 to 2025-10-26 UTC. Sprint races are excluded.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
The largest win total in this 3-race sample is 1/3, held by Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen. This counts only the stored races in the sample.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
Of 3 winners with a positive recorded grid position, 2 started from pole and 3 started in the first three positions. A positive grid position is stored for 3/3 winners.
Circuit results ↗F1Fix calculation from stored Jolpica classifications
Retrieved
Circuit history
3 Grands Prix · –. Sprints excluded.
| Race | Winner | Winning team | Winner’s grid | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 ↗ | Lando Norris | McLaren | P1 | Charles LeclercFerrari | Max VerstappenRed Bull |
| 2024 ↗ | Carlos Sainz | Ferrari | P1 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | Charles LeclercFerrari |
| 2023 ↗ | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | P3 | Lewis HamiltonMercedes | Charles LeclercFerrari |
Lando Norris: 1/3 · Carlos Sainz: 1/3 · Max Verstappen: 1/3 wins in this sample of up to five Grands Prix.
3 different winners in the last 6 completed Grands Prix before this event: –. Sprints excluded.